Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 10.347334 11.442986 12.618319 13.975002 15.500447 17.165592 19.124814
2025-10-12 8.916431 10.459864 12.230264 14.420107 17.068137 20.181867 24.142644
2025-10-19 7.677665 9.473196 11.655302 14.523096 18.223194 22.877407 29.239876
2025-10-26 6.634861 8.554377 11.008371 14.412138 19.068253 25.297979 34.405515
2025-11-02 5.789326 7.758429 10.391249 14.223895 19.752674 27.582732 39.772078
2025-11-09 5.097094 7.068706 9.812300 13.984003 20.300493 29.728324 45.295344
2025-11-16 4.551267 6.509591 9.335113 13.806170 20.886204 31.986151 51.368539
2025-11-23 4.122470 6.065071 8.962671 13.720570 21.577922 34.483826 58.263295
2025-11-30 3.851888 5.823186 8.859759 14.029292 22.927331 38.237023 68.018107
2025-12-07 3.529281 5.463259 8.527348 13.912540 23.529532 40.781013 76.037642
2025-12-14 3.208782 5.072621 8.100575 13.576668 23.687538 42.529478 82.834218
2025-12-21 2.976300 4.802275 7.842239 13.496841 24.287890 45.177926 91.972367
2025-12-28 2.852262 4.706547 7.878030 13.964237 26.016034 50.371594 107.880102
2026-01-04 2.727596 4.597400 7.878424 14.365714 27.677985 55.731897 125.508168
2026-01-11 2.567680 4.410575 7.719397 14.440141 28.685414 59.880890 141.305905
2026-01-18 2.397210 4.188976 7.473744 14.311907 29.244889 63.133985 155.690716
2026-01-25 2.235396 3.969040 7.209682 14.113697 29.621489 66.031473 169.908061
2026-02-01 2.084114 3.756019 6.938747 13.868656 29.856257 68.631394 184.014691
2026-02-08 1.954249 3.573249 6.710364 13.687864 30.213828 71.604288 200.070767
2026-02-15 1.845756 3.423245 6.533874 13.600127 30.781134 75.226382 219.208254
2026-02-22 1.784450 3.361575 6.531884 13.903785 32.358646 81.861458 250.200135
2026-03-01 1.688880 3.223004 6.356637 13.786959 32.850610 85.583128 272.522081
2026-03-08 1.582221 3.053702 6.101681 13.453739 32.729453 87.523290 289.144523